RECESSION CONTINUES TO HOVER OVER THE WORLD
September 9, 2008
By N. Prasad

Recession word itself enough to create a panic in the stomach of the whole world. If someone gets up and checks the empirical meaning of recession in the good lexicon, he or she will feel something disgusting about it; fear factor will dance in front of him or her. It looks like coming to hell just after knocking the door of the zenith.

At this juncture world is confronting the same fearful word "Recession" in empirical way. The world had good news that U.S. GDP (Gross Domestic Product) has grown 3.3% annually in second quarter of year 2008 but it was just like an oasis and faded away when US government has given whopping jobless claims 444,000 on last Thursday. Rising inflation, housing slowdown, 16 year low housing prices, diminishing industrial growth, Federal Reserve policy on interest rate all are rubbing salt on the wounds. Now US government is pondering over the Fannie and Freddie financials and set to take over the housing mortgage giants.

It is not only United States of America but whole world starting from African countries to European countries, which covers Asia too. Markets from New Zealand to India suffered a sell-off Friday, September 5, 2008, with as many as five benchmark indices set 52-week lows, as investors dumped stocks on concerns about weakening growth prospects and uncertainty over the global economy.

Socio-political issues has created unusual troubles in South Africa, which is known as the most prosperous country in the African continent and precious metal mining hub across the globe, had reeled on august 6, 2008, when rand has fallen 1.90% against the USD due to trade union nationwide strike to protest against the food and electricity prices. State military of Nigeria said, "Blast was not an accident but deliberate sabotage by a group protesting the alleged nonpayment of fees by the energy company to the local population." Nigeria social turmoil is on acme and any time untoward happening may occur that can fuel, for the time being subsidized, crude oil prices. Zimbabwe political instability continues to romp over the constructive activities in the region. The inflation in Zimbabwe jumped to over 11,250,000% in June. Rebels in Kenya are also contributing enough in poorly shaped African economic condition.

Now look at Asian economies, first comes China where everyone was thinking that after the Olympics china will resume the economic work on growth agenda and the demand for the commodities like copper, aluminum and steel will rise but it was a distant dream all base metals are setting new lows on commodity exchanges. China also eyeing on currency markets and all set to devalue the Yuan against its rival currencies in order to enhance the export growth which has become less lucrative for the exporters. World Bank has trimmed China's growth rate to 9.60% from earlier 10.80% for the current fiscal. China needs to generate more than a million jobs every year and it is very difficult without double digit growth rate on the cards.




Japan, The land of rising sun, is also undergoing through tremendous inflationary pressure which was previously known for deflation. Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda resigned after less than a year in office. His government failed to rein in inflation. The rise in inflation has been a trauma for a country that has spent the last decade grappling with deflation. Core consumer prices were up 2.4% in July 2008 from a year earlier, a panic bounce since 1997, and many Japanese have clamped down on spending. Japanese finance ministry has already given cowardice statement over the current year GDP growth rate. Experts say Japan has already slipped into recession and no one is predicting growth above 1% this year.